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UEFA Conference League

Trabzonspor vs Freiburg prediction, tips and odds

Trabzonspor's seven-game winning run meets a Freiburg side without a clean sheet in nine, and the hosts must cope without striker Franculino Djú in a first-ever meeting that could decide top-eight footing.
  • both score
  • high ceiling
  • high stakes
  • weakened side
  • league
  • Trabzonspor: high
  • Freiburg: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
UEFA Conference League

Our prediction

FormW, W, W, W, W

Franculino Djú (out), Aral Şimşir (out), Arseniy Batagov (out), Okay Yokuşlu (out), Ruslan Malinovskyi (out), Paul Onuachu (doubtful), Onuralp Çevikkan (doubtful)

FormW, W, L, L, L

Patrick Osterhage (out), Florent Muslija (out), Bruno Ogbus (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–13.0 goals projected
TRA 39%Draw 26%FRE 35%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

goals per meeting
1.0goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
0/1with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
0/1over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals
    1.11
  • Freiburg keep it closeOur pickFreiburg starts 2.5 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
TRA 39%Draw 26%FRE 35%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 1–28%
  • 2–18%
Projected goals
3.0
Likeliest at half time
0–026%
Competition goals a game
2.48
Competition matches over 2.5
54%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Trabzonspor against Freiburg
StatTRAFRETotal
GoalsLeague 1.241.511.533.0
Expected goals (xG)1.561.673.2
CornersLeague 4.33.993.97.9
Fouls12.413.025.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
TrabzonsporW, W, W, W, W
FreiburgW, W, L, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendTRAFRE
Over 2.5 goals2/55/5
Both teams scored2/54/5
Clean sheets3/50/5
Failed to score0/51/5
Head-to-head · last 1
1
TRA wins
0
Draws
0
FRE wins
  • WSC Freiburg 0–1 Trabzonspor2006-07-18 · Friendly (INT CF)1 gls
1.0goals per meeting0/1with both teams scoring0/1over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Trabzonspor WWWWW (14-5, three clean sheets) and scoring freely at home; Freiburg W W L L L across all comps (7-11), no clean sheet in nine and conceding in every recent game.
History
No meaningful recent history: Trabzonspor and Freiburg have never met in a competitive match — this Conference League league-phase tie is their first-ever meeting (confirmed by Squawka, APWin and t-online). The only recorded encounter is a pre-season friendly on 18 Jul 2006, Freiburg 0-1 Trabzonspor (0-0 at half-time per AiScore) — a friendly, so it carries no predictive weight. On stature it is a near-equal pairing: a Bundesliga side that reached the 2025/26 Europa League final (Freiburg, 18th…
The competition
UEFA Conference League 2026/27 league phase, Matchday 3 of 8 (single table, 36 teams; top 8 straight to the R16, 9th-24th into a play-off). Trabzonspor are 3rd with two wins from two (6 pts, 6-2: beat KuPS 4-2 away, Hearts 2-0 at home) and a win here would be a third straight European victory and put them in pole position for a top-8 bye. Freiburg are 18th on 3 pts (3-5), having won 3-2 v Jablonec then lost 0-3 at Monaco, so they are chasing a top-24 (or top-8) foothold. No dead rubber: both ne…

Team news

Trabzonspor
  • Franculino Djú — out (fwd)
  • Aral Şimşir — out (fwd)
  • Arseniy Batagov — out (def)
  • Okay Yokuşlu — out (mid)
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi — out (mid)
  • Paul Onuachu — doubtful (fwd)
  • Onuralp Çevikkan — doubtful (gk)
Freiburg
  • Patrick Osterhage — out (mid)
  • Florent Muslija — out (mid)
  • Bruno Ogbus — doubtful (def)

UEFA Conference League table and leaders

UEFA Conference League standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Strasbourg6—16
2Raków Częstochowa6—14
3AEK Athens6—13
4Sparta Praha6—13
5Rayo Vallecano6—13
6Shakhtar Donetsk6—13

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Ismaïla SarrCrystal Palace9 goals
  2. 2Marius MouandilmadjiSamsunspor8 goals
  3. 3Mikael IshakLech Poznań8 goals
  4. 4Sven MijnansAZ Alkmaar6 goals
  5. 5Toni FrukRijeka5 goals

UEFA.com season stats, Wikipedia league-phase table, GoalStatsLab totals

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Trabzonspor vs Freiburg prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Trabzonspor 39%, the draw 26% and Freiburg 35%.

What is the best bet for Trabzonspor vs Freiburg?

Our tip is Full time · Under 5.5 Goals at 1.11.

What time does Trabzonspor vs Freiburg kick off?

Trabzonspor vs Freiburg kicks off at Thu 17:45 in the UEFA Conference League.

Who is out for Trabzonspor vs Freiburg?

Reported absences: Franculino Djú (out), Aral Şimşir (out), Arseniy Batagov (out), Okay Yokuşlu (out), Ruslan Malinovskyi (out), Paul Onuachu (doubtful), Onuralp Çevikkan (doubtful), Patrick Osterhage (out), Florent Muslija (out), Bruno Ogbus (doubtful).

What happened the last time Trabzonspor vs Freiburg met?

SC Freiburg 0–1 Trabzonspor (2006-07-18 · Friendly (INT CF)). Over their last 1 meetings it is 1 wins for Trabzonspor, 0 draws and 0 for Freiburg.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.