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UEFA Conference League

Thun vs Hearts prediction, tips and odds

Both winless after two matchdays, Thun and Hearts meet in a must-win with two of Europe's leakiest recent defences
  • goals fest
  • high stakes
  • both score
  • open game
  • league
  • Thun: high
  • Hearts: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
UEFA Conference League

Our prediction

FormW, L, L, D, L
FormL, D, W, L, L
Our prediction
1–13.5 goals projected
THU 42%Draw 26%HEA 32%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals
    1.19
  • Goals before the breakOur pickOver 0.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
THU 42%Draw 26%HEA 32%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–19%
  • 2–19%
  • 1–28%
Projected goals
3.5
Likeliest at half time
0–021%
Competition goals a game
2.48
Competition matches over 2.5
54%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Thun against Hearts
StatTHUHEATotal
GoalsLeague 1.241.861.613.5

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
ThunW, L, L, D, L
HeartsL, D, W, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendTHUHEA
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored3/53/5
Clean sheets0/51/5
Failed to score2/51/5

Match context

Form
Thun: W-L-L-D-L (5-4 at Lausanne, then 2-3 v Lugano, 0-1 v Hajduk, cup draw at Schaffhausen, 0-1 at Twente) — leaky but scoring. Hearts: L-D-W-L-L (1-2 v Hibs in League Cup, 2-2 Rangers, 2-0 at Motherwell, 0-2 at Trabzonspor, 1-7 at Celtic).
The competition
UEFA Conference League 2026/27 league phase, Matchday 3 (of 6) — a single league-phase round, no legs. Thun and Hearts are not in the on-file top-24 standings snapshot and both sit on 0 points after two matchdays (Thun lost 1-0 at Twente, 0-1 v Hajduk; Hearts drew 1-1 with Nordsjælland, lost 0-2 at Trabzonspor), so this is effectively a must-win for both in the race for the top-24 cut.

Team news

Thun

No absences reported.

Hearts

No absences reported.

UEFA Conference League table and leaders

UEFA Conference League standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Strasbourg6—16
2Raków Częstochowa6—14
3AEK Athens6—13
4Sparta Praha6—13
5Rayo Vallecano6—13
6Shakhtar Donetsk6—13

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Ismaïla SarrCrystal Palace9 goals
  2. 2Marius MouandilmadjiSamsunspor8 goals
  3. 3Mikael IshakLech Poznań8 goals
  4. 4Sven MijnansAZ Alkmaar6 goals
  5. 5Toni FrukRijeka5 goals

UEFA.com season stats, Wikipedia league-phase table, GoalStatsLab totals

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Thun vs Hearts prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Thun 42%, the draw 26% and Hearts 32%.

What is the best bet for Thun vs Hearts?

Our tip is Full time · Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19.

What time does Thun vs Hearts kick off?

Thun vs Hearts kicks off at Thu 17:45 in the UEFA Conference League.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.