Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction, tips and odds
- league
- Sunderland: high
- Dinamo Zagreb: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
Our prediction
Nordi Mukiele (out), Dan Ballard (out), Habib Diarra (out), Romaine Mundle (out)
Scott McKenna (doubtful), Stjepan Radeljic (doubtful), Fran Topic (out), Dani Rodriguez (doubtful)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Sunderland come throughOur pickSunderland1.53
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 2–012%
- 1–012%
- 2–110%
- Projected goals
- 2.8
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–028%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.71
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 53%
| Stat | SUN | DIN | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.35 | 2.02 | 0.82 | 2.8 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.4 | 1.41 | 1.51 | 2.9 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 13.7 | 24.9 |
| Shots on target | 3.67 | 3.99 | 7.7 |
| CornersLeague 4.6 | 3.99 | 5.16 | 9.2 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | SUN | DIN |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 2/5 | 1/5 |
Match context
- Forecast for Sunderland 5 Nov: overcast, ~10C, wind ENE ~12mph, only ~10% rain chance — nothing extreme flagged.
- Form
- Sunderland L W D D L across all comps — winless in six PL games, only 3 goals in last 5; Dinamo L W L W W — 5-1 at Slaven their high point, beaten 1-0 at Rudeš and 2-4 at home by NEC, no away win in last three.
- History
- First-ever meeting: Sunderland and Dinamo Zagreb have never played a competitive fixture (confirmed by Squawka, Khel Now and Betfair, all of which list zero previous meetings). There is therefore no head-to-head form of any kind to weigh for goals, result or BTTS. Stature: not near-equals — Sunderland are a Premier League side (ranked ~#53 world, ~58-65% favourites at the Stadium of Light) while Dinamo Zagreb are the dominant Croatian club but a clear step down at European level (~#111), 2nd in…
- The competition
- UEFA Europa League 2026/27 league phase (Matchday 4 of 8) — Europe's second club competition, single 36-team table, no two legs: every side plays 8 different opponents, top 8 go straight to the last 16, 9-24 into the play-offs. Sunderland sit on 7 points from 3 (2W 1D, GF4/GA2, unbeaten, 9th in the on-file table read) and a home win here puts them firmly on course for the top eight; Dinamo Zagreb have 4 points from 3 (1W 1D 1L, GF3/GA6, 23rd in the final table read) and are playing to stay insi…
Team news
- Nordi Mukiele — out (def)
- Dan Ballard — out (def)
- Habib Diarra — out (mid)
- Romaine Mundle — out (mid)
- Scott McKenna — doubtful (def)
- Stjepan Radeljic — doubtful (def)
- Fran Topic — out (unknown)
- Dani Rodriguez — doubtful (mid)
UEFA Europa League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | — | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | — | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | — | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | — | 17 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Igor JesusNottingham Forest7 goals
- 2Petar StanićLudogorets7 goals
- 3AntonyReal Betis6 goals
- 4Kerem AktürkoğluFenerbahçe6 goals
- 5Vincenzo GrifoSC Freiburg5 goals
- 1Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart6 assists
- 2Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa6 assists
- 3Morgan RogersAston Villa5 assists
- 4Ricardo HortaBraga5 assists
- 5Andrija ŽivkovićPAOK5 assists
- 1Aston Villa9 clean sheets
- 2Nottingham Forest7 clean sheets
- 3Braga7 clean sheets
- 4FC Midtjylland5 clean sheets
- 5Viktoria Plzeň5 clean sheets
UEFA.com 2025/26 stats: 512 goals / 189 matches = 2.71; over-2.5 52.8% (GoalStatsLab); table stat32/Tribuna; leaders UEFA.com, ESPN, Statz
More UEFA Europa League tips this weekend
- Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.21
- AC Milan vs Ferencvaros · Full time result · AC Milan1.38
- NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.20
- Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.11
- Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth · Full time result · Bournemouth1.55
- Real Sociedad vs Lyon · Full time result · Real Sociedad1.73
Frequently asked questions
What is our Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction?
We project 2–0. The bookmakers' own prices imply Sunderland 64%, the draw 21% and Dinamo Zagreb 15%.
What is the best bet for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our tip is Full time result · Sunderland at 1.53. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb kick off?
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb kicks off at Thu 20:00 in the UEFA Europa League.
Who is out for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Reported absences: Nordi Mukiele (out), Dan Ballard (out), Habib Diarra (out), Romaine Mundle (out), Scott McKenna (doubtful), Stjepan Radeljic (doubtful), Fran Topic (out), Dani Rodriguez (doubtful).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.