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Spanish Copa del Rey

Xerez CD vs Cadiz prediction, tips and odds

  • Derby
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Xerez CD: high
  • Cadiz: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

FormW, L, D, W, L
FormW, L, L, W, D

Iuri Tabatadze (out), Giorgi Gocholeishvili ("Gocho") (out), Javi Castro (out), Gonzalo Petit (out)

Our prediction
1–12.6 goals projected
XER 30%Draw 26%CAD 44%
goals per meeting
2.5goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
4/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
4/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    1.18
  • Xerez CD keep it closeOur pickXerez CD starts 2 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
XER 30%Draw 26%CAD 44%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 0–111%
  • 1–29%
Projected goals
2.6
Likeliest at half time
0–031%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Xerez CD against Cadiz
StatXERCADTotal
Goals1.151.432.6

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Xerez CDW, L, D, W, L
CadizW, L, L, W, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendXERCAD
Over 2.5 goals1/52/5
Both teams scored2/52/5
Clean sheets1/51/5
Failed to score2/52/5
Head-to-head · last 6
3
XER wins
1
Draws
2
CAD wins
  • DXerez 0–0 Cadiz2022-11-30 · Club Friendly0 gls
  • WXerez 2–1 Cadiz2008-04-05 · Segunda Division3 gls
  • LCadiz 2–1 Xerez2007-11-03 · Segunda Division3 gls
  • WCadiz 1–2 Xerez2007-05-06 · Segunda Division3 gls
  • LXerez 1–4 Cadiz2006-12-03 · Segunda Division5 gls
2.5goals per meeting4/6with both teams scoring4/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Xerez: W L D W L (last: 1-0 Marbella, 0-1 Lucena, 1-1 Betis B, 2-1 Tenerife B, 0-1 Recre) — low-scoring, 33% BTTS. Cádiz: W L L W D, most recently 3-1 v Ceuta after 0-2 at Granada; volatile, 14 goals in 11 games.
History
Local derby ("derbi gaditano") returning after 18 years. Last meeting: Xerez 2-1 Cadiz (Segunda, 5 Apr 2008, HT 0-0). Earlier Segunda meetings were tight and low-scoring: Cadiz 2-1 Xerez (3 Nov 2007, HT 2-1), Cadiz 1-2 Xerez (6 May 2007, HT 0-1), Xerez 1-4 Cadiz (3 Dec 2006, HT 1-1); 2004-05 Cadiz 0-1 Xerez and Xerez 0-2 Cadiz. Stature: Cadiz are the far bigger club (LaLiga/Segunda, now LaLiga Hypermotion, recently in Primera) while Xerez CD, a former Primera side (2009-10), have fallen to Segu…
The competition
Copa del Rey 2026-27, first round (single-leg knockout, lower-tier side at home; no group stage). Cádiz (Segunda División/LaLiga Hypermotion) are the higher-division visitors at Xerez CD of Segunda Federación Group 4 (Spanish fourth tier). Xerez sit 13th of 18 in Group 4 (9 pts, 5 GF/6 GA after 8 games); Cádiz were 18th in Segunda with 10 pts from 11 (14 GF/14 GA) after matchday 10, having sacked coach Albert Celades on 19 Oct. Note: this tie was scheduled for 28 Oct and the whole first-round s…

Team news

Xerez CD

No absences reported.

Cadiz
  • Iuri Tabatadze — out (mid)
  • Giorgi Gocholeishvili ("Gocho") — out (def)
  • Javi Castro — out (def)
  • Gonzalo Petit — out (fwd)

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Xerez CD vs Cadiz prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Xerez CD 30%, the draw 26% and Cadiz 44%.

What is the best bet for Xerez CD vs Cadiz?

Our tip is Full time · Under 4.5 Goals at 1.18.

What time does Xerez CD vs Cadiz kick off?

Xerez CD vs Cadiz kicks off at Thu 20:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for Xerez CD vs Cadiz?

Reported absences: Iuri Tabatadze (out), Giorgi Gocholeishvili ("Gocho") (out), Javi Castro (out), Gonzalo Petit (out).

What happened the last time Xerez CD vs Cadiz met?

Xerez 0–0 Cadiz (2022-11-30 · Club Friendly). Over their last 6 meetings it is 3 wins for Xerez CD, 1 draw and 2 for Cadiz.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.