Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction, tips and odds
- league
- Atalanta: high
- Frosinone: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Italian Serie A
Our prediction
Marco Carnesecchi (out), Isak Hien (out), Odilon Kossounou (out), Sead Kolasinac (out), Giorgio Scalvini (out), Pompei (out), Franck Kessie (out), Giacomo Raspadori (out), Kamaldeen Sulemana (out)
- goals per meeting
- 3.4goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 1/5with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 4/5over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 1–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Atalanta come throughOur pickAtalanta1.93
- Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 2–18%
- 1–17%
- 2–27%
- Projected goals
- 4.0
- Likeliest at half time
- 1–017%
| Stat | ATA | FRO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.25 | 1.74 | 4.0 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.59 | 1.75 | 3.3 |
| Shots on target | 5.28 | 5.39 | 10.7 |
| Corners | 5.41 | 5.02 | 10.4 |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 12.1 | 23.4 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | ATA | FRO |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 1/5 |
- WAtalanta 5–0 Frosinone2024-01-15 · Serie A5 gls
- LFrosinone 2–1 Atalanta2023-08-26 · Serie A3 gls
- WFrosinone 0–5 Atalanta2019-01-20 · Serie A5 gls
- WAtalanta 4–0 Frosinone2018-08-20 · Serie A4 gls
- DFrosinone 0–0 Atalanta2016-01-23 · Serie A0 gls
Match context
- Form
- Atalanta WLWLW in last five Serie A (3-1 v Venezia, 2-3 at Milan — three defeats in five, 7 scored 8 conceded); Frosinone WWDWL, 13 scored in 7 league games, top scorer Raimondo on 7 goals, but blanked 3-0 at Napoli last away trip.
- History
- Predominantly Serie A history, but the most recent league meetings are 2023-24. Atalanta 5-0 Frosinone (15 Jan 2024, HT 3-0) in Bergamo came after Frosinone's 2-1 home win (26 Aug 2023, HT 2-0); in 2018-19 Atalanta won 4-0 at home (Aug 2018) and 5-0 away (Jan 2019). Both 2018-19 meetings and the 2023-24 pair were one-sided apart from Frosinone's single upset — Atalanta hold a big aggregate edge. Frosinone also met Atalanta in Serie B (per AiScore: 2 Serie B meetings, Atalanta 1 win, Frosinone 1…
- The competition
- Italian Serie A (national top flight), 2026/27 season, ordinary Matchday 8 round. Before this game: Frosinone sit 6th (13 pts from 7), a strong promoted-side start pushing for the European places; Atalanta are mid/lower-mid table (roughly 11th, 9 pts from 7 after four defeats) and need points to climb toward the European spots. Nothing is decided — both sides have clear league targets, so no dead rubber or rotation incentive beyond Atalanta's Conference League load (they lost 2-0 at Ajax on 22…
Team news
- Marco Carnesecchi — out (gk)
- Isak Hien — out (def)
- Odilon Kossounou — out (def)
- Sead Kolasinac — out (def)
- Giorgio Scalvini — out (def)
- Pompei — out (def)
- Franck Kessie — out (mid)
- Giacomo Raspadori — out (fwd)
- Kamaldeen Sulemana — out (fwd)
- Florian Grillitsch — out (mid)
Italian Serie A table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 7 | — | 19 |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | — | 19 |
| 3 | Roma | 7 | — | 17 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | — | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | — | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | — | 13 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Antonio RaimondoFrosinone7 goals
- 2Donyell MalenRoma6 goals
- 3Gustavo VarelaMonza6 goals
- 4Lautaro MartínezInter4 goals
Scorers from Sports Mole / topscorersfootball, as of 21-23 Oct 2026.
More tips this week
- Inter vs Fiorentina · Full time result · Inter1.38
- Genoa vs Venezia · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.13
- Lecce vs Juventus · Full time result · Juventus1.53
- Udinese vs AC Milan · Full time result · AC Milan1.77
- Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W) · Both teams to score · Yes1.77
- Atlanta Utd vs Chicago Fire · Half time · Under 2.5 Goals1.23
Frequently asked questions
What is our Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction?
We project 2–1. Our model gives Atalanta 50%, the draw 20% and Frosinone 30%.
What is the best bet for Atalanta vs Frosinone?
Our tip is Full time result · Atalanta at 1.93. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Atalanta vs Frosinone kick off?
Atalanta vs Frosinone kicks off at Sun 14:00 in the Italian Serie A.
Who is out for Atalanta vs Frosinone?
Reported absences: Marco Carnesecchi (out), Isak Hien (out), Odilon Kossounou (out), Sead Kolasinac (out), Giorgio Scalvini (out), Pompei (out), Franck Kessie (out), Giacomo Raspadori (out), Kamaldeen Sulemana (out), Florian Grillitsch (out).
What happened the last time Atalanta vs Frosinone met?
Atalanta 5–0 Frosinone (2024-01-15 · Serie A). Over their last 5 meetings it is 3 wins for Atalanta, 1 draw and 1 for Frosinone.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.