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Italian Serie A

Lecce vs Juventus prediction, tips and odds

Juventus head to Lecce without key men Yildiz and Locatelli — and without a clean sheet in four — against a Lecce side missing first-choice midfielder Coulibaly
  • weakened side
  • both score
  • high stakes
  • league
  • Lecce: normal
  • Juventus: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Italian Serie A

Our prediction

Lecce
12th · 9 pts
FormW, L, L, W, L

Lassana Coulibaly (out), Ivan Ilić (out), Medon Berisha (out), Santiago Pierotti (out)

Juventus
8th · 11 pts
FormD, L, W, L, D

Zeki Celik (out), Nico Gonzalez (out), Kenan Yildiz (out), Manuel Locatelli (out), Khephren Thuram (out), Francisco Conceição (out)

Our prediction
1–12.5 goals projected
LEC 30%Draw 26%JUV 44%
goals per meeting
2.3goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
2/4with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
2/4over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Juventus come throughOur pickJuventus
    1.53
  • Lecce keep it closeOur pickLecce starts 3 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
LEC 30%Draw 26%JUV 44%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–113%
  • 0–111%
  • 1–09%
Projected goals
2.5
Likeliest at half time
0–032%
Competition goals a game
2.96
Competition matches over 2.5
60%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Lecce against Juventus
StatLECJUVTotal
Goals1.121.412.5
Expected goals (xG)1.061.512.6
Shots on target4.195.699.9
Corners4.45.9710.4
Fouls12.012.224.2

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
LecceW, L, L, W, L
JuventusD, L, W, L, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendLECJUV
Over 2.5 goals4/53/5
Both teams scored2/53/5
Clean sheets1/51/5
Failed to score2/51/5
Head-to-head · last 4
0
LEC wins
1
Draws
3
JUV wins
  • LLecce 0–1 Juventus2026-05-09 · Serie A1 gls
  • DJuventus 1–1 Lecce2026-01-03 · Serie A2 gls
  • LJuventus 2–1 Lecce2025-04-12 · Serie A3 gls
  • LLecce 0–3 Juventus2024-01-21 · Serie A3 gls
2.3goals per meeting2/4with both teams scoring2/4over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Lecce W L W L W (3-0 at Udinese, 1-2 vs Bologna, 0-3 vs Milan, 3-2 at Monza, 0-1 at Cagliari), 12 scored/15 conceded; Juventus D L W L D — 2-2 vs Rennes, 0-3 vs Lazio, 2-0 vs Atalanta, 2-3 at Sassuolo, 1-1 vs Milan: conceding in every game, no win in the last two league outings.
History
Recent Serie A meetings are all close in score but one-sided in outcome: Juventus 2-1 Lecce (Apr 2025), Juventus 1-1 Lecce (3 Jan 2026, Lecce led 0-1 at HT), Lecce 0-1 Juventus (9 May 2026, Vlahovic after 1 minute, HT 0-1) and the last Lecce home league win over Juve predates these. Lecce have not beaten Juve in the recent run (Juve won 4 of the last 6); typical margins are one goal, and the last three meetings produced 3, 2 and 1 goals. Stature: Juventus are the far bigger club and clear favou…
The competition
Italian Serie A 2026-27, the national top flight (20 clubs, 38 rounds) — an ordinary Matchday 8 league round, not a cup tie. Inter and Lazio lead on 19 pts from 7; Juventus are 8th on 11 pts (3W 2D 2L, GF 9 GA 8) after a shock 0-3 home loss to Lazio and a 2-2 Europa League draw with Rennes on 22 Oct. Lecce are 12th on 9 pts (3W 0D 4L, GF 12 GA 15) and arrive off a 3-0 win at Udinese. Both need points: Juve to stay near the Champions League places, Lecce to build distance from the bottom half; J…

Team news

Lecce
  • Lassana Coulibaly — out (mid)
  • Ivan Ilić — out (mid)
  • Medon Berisha — out (mid)
  • Santiago Pierotti — out (unknown)
Juventus
  • Zeki Celik — out (def)
  • Nico Gonzalez — out (fwd)
  • Kenan Yildiz — out (fwd)
  • Manuel Locatelli — out (mid)
  • Khephren Thuram — out (mid)
  • Francisco Conceição — out (fwd)

Italian Serie A table

Italian Serie A standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Inter7—19
2Lazio7—19
3Roma7—17
4Milan7—15
5Como7—14
6Frosinone7—13

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Lecce vs Juventus prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Lecce 30%, the draw 26% and Juventus 44%.

What is the best bet for Lecce vs Juventus?

Our tip is Full time result · Juventus at 1.53. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Lecce vs Juventus kick off?

Lecce vs Juventus kicks off at Sun 17:00 in the Italian Serie A.

Who is out for Lecce vs Juventus?

Reported absences: Lassana Coulibaly (out), Ivan Ilić (out), Medon Berisha (out), Santiago Pierotti (out), Zeki Celik (out), Nico Gonzalez (out), Kenan Yildiz (out), Manuel Locatelli (out), Khephren Thuram (out), Francisco Conceição (out).

What happened the last time Lecce vs Juventus met?

Lecce 0–1 Juventus (2026-05-09 · Serie A). Over their last 4 meetings it is 0 wins for Lecce, 1 draw and 3 for Juventus.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.