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Italian Serie A

Genoa vs Venezia prediction, tips and odds

Bottom two meet at the Ferraris: Genoa 17th on four points host winless-away Venezia, whose key midfielder Busio is out — and both sides have scored barely a goal a game.
  • high stakes
  • weakened side
  • slow start
  • low scoring
  • no strong shape
  • league
  • Genoa: high
  • Venezia: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Italian Serie A

Our prediction

Genoa
17th · 4 pts
FormL, W, D, L, L

Lorenzo Colombo (out), Lorenzo Venturino (out), Elias Havel (doubtful), Djibril Sow (doubtful), Kingsley Ehizibue (doubtful), Franz-Ethan Meichtry (doubtful)

Venezia
20th · 3 pts
FormW, L, L, L, L

Bartol Franjić (out), Gianluca Busio (out), Marin Šverko (out), Andrea Adorante (out)

Our prediction
1–12.5 goals projected
GEN 46%Draw 27%VEN 27%
goals per meeting
2.0goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
2/5with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
1/5over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    1.13
  • Venezia come throughOur pickDraw or Away
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
GEN 46%Draw 27%VEN 27%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–113%
  • 1–012%
  • 2–19%
Projected goals
2.5
Likeliest at half time
0–033%
Competition goals a game
2.96
Competition matches over 2.5
56%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Genoa against Venezia
StatGENVENTotal
Goals1.421.032.5
Shots14.014.528.5
Corners3.964.28.2

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
GenoaL, W, D, L, L
VeneziaW, L, L, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendGENVEN
Over 2.5 goals2/53/5
Both teams scored3/53/5
Clean sheets0/51/5
Failed to score2/51/5
Head-to-head · last 5
3
GEN wins
1
Draws
1
VEN wins
  • WGenoa 2–0 Venezia2025-02-17 · Serie A2 gls
  • LVenezia 2–0 Genoa2024-09-21 · Serie A2 gls
  • WGenoa 1–0 Venezia2023-01-16 · Serie B1 gls
  • WVenezia 1–2 Genoa2022-08-14 · Serie B3 gls
  • DVenezia 1–1 Genoa2022-02-20 · Serie A2 gls
2.0goals per meeting2/5with both teams scoring1/5over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Genoa LWLDL (league: 0-2 at Roma, 2-1 v Fiorentina, 1-1 v Frosinone, 1-4 v Como, 0-1 at Lazio), scoring just 5 in 7 and 0.71/game; Venezia LLLLW after a 1-0 win over Napoli broke a six-game losing run — 1-3 at Atalanta, 0-2 v Lazio, 2-4 v Fiorentina before that, conceding 2.29/g…
History
Recent league history is thin but tight: in Serie A 2024-25 they split it 1-1, each winning 2-0 at home — Venezia 2-0 Genoa (21 Sep 2024, Penzo) and Genoa 2-0 Venezia (17 Feb 2025, Ferraris). Both were 0-0 at half-time. Before that they met in Serie B 2022-23 (Genoa won 1-0 at home Jan 2023, 2-1 away Aug 2022) and Serie A 2021-22 (1-1 at Venezia). These are near-equals in stature — two mid/lower-table Italian clubs, both currently struggling (Genoa 17th on 4 pts, Venezia 20th on 3 pts after 7 g…
The competition
Italian Serie A 2026-27 (Italy's top division, 20 clubs, 38 rounds), ordinary Matchweek 8 league round at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Both sides are in the relegation zone after 7 games: Genoa 17th on 4 pts (1W 1D 5L, 5-13) and Venezia 20th and bottom on 3 pts (1W 0D 6L, 6-16). This is a direct relegation six-pointer in late October: Genoa under Daniele De Rossi are at home and need a first home win to climb out of the drop zone; Venezia, promoted last season, have lost six straight league games and…

Team news

Genoa
  • Lorenzo Colombo — out (fwd)
  • Lorenzo Venturino — out (fwd)
  • Elias Havel — doubtful (fwd)
  • Djibril Sow — doubtful (mid)
  • Kingsley Ehizibue — doubtful (def)
  • Franz-Ethan Meichtry — doubtful (mid)
Venezia
  • Bartol Franjić — out (mid)
  • Gianluca Busio — out (mid)
  • Marin Šverko — out (def)
  • Andrea Adorante — out (fwd)

Italian Serie A table and leaders

Italian Serie A standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Inter7—19
2Lazio7—19
3Roma7—17
4AC Milan7—15
5Como7—14
6Frosinone7—13

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Antonio RaimondoFrosinone7 goals

soccernews.com Serie A top scorers/assists, updated 22 Oct 2026; clean-sheet board not surfaced

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Genoa vs Venezia prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Genoa 46%, the draw 27% and Venezia 27%.

What is the best bet for Genoa vs Venezia?

Our tip is Full time · Under 4.5 Goals at 1.13.

What time does Genoa vs Venezia kick off?

Genoa vs Venezia kicks off at Sun 14:00 in the Italian Serie A.

Who is out for Genoa vs Venezia?

Reported absences: Lorenzo Colombo (out), Lorenzo Venturino (out), Elias Havel (doubtful), Djibril Sow (doubtful), Kingsley Ehizibue (doubtful), Franz-Ethan Meichtry (doubtful), Bartol Franjić (out), Gianluca Busio (out), Marin Šverko (out), Andrea Adorante (out).

What happened the last time Genoa vs Venezia met?

Genoa 2–0 Venezia (2025-02-17 · Serie A). Over their last 5 meetings it is 3 wins for Genoa, 1 draw and 1 for Venezia.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.