Skip to content
sugardice
Italian Serie A

Udinese vs AC Milan prediction, tips and odds

Five straight defeats have Udinese in the relegation zone and under a coach reported at risk, while Milan arrive unbeaten in Serie A but without Maignan and Rabiot and off a 3-0 Bournemouth loss three days earlier
  • weakened side
  • high stakes
  • one sided
  • no strong shape
  • league
  • Udinese: must win
  • AC Milan: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Italian Serie A

Our prediction

Udinese
16th · 4 pts
FormL, L, L, W, L

Vakoun Bayo (out), David Alaba (out)

AC Milan
4th · 15 pts
FormW, D, W, D, D

Mike Maignan (out), Adrien Rabiot (out), Mario Gila (out), Diego Moreira (out), Matteo Gabbia (out), Alexis Saelemaekers (out), Samuel Chukwueze (out), Pietro Terracciano (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–12.8 goals projected
UDI 22%Draw 23%AC 55%
goals per meeting
2.8goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
1/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
4/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • AC Milan come throughOur pickAC Milan
    1.77
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
UDI 22%Draw 23%AC 55%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 0–110%
  • 1–210%
Projected goals
2.8
Likeliest at half time
0–028%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Udinese against AC Milan
StatUDIAC Total
Goals1.051.792.8
Corners4.494.328.8
Fouls11.19.9621.1

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
UdineseL, L, L, W, L
AC MilanW, D, W, D, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendUDIAC
Over 2.5 goals4/53/5
Both teams scored3/54/5
Clean sheets0/51/5
Failed to score2/50/5
Head-to-head · last 6
2
UDI wins
0
Draws
4
AC wins
  • WAC Milan 0–3 Udinese2026-04-11 · Serie A3 gls
  • LUdinese 0–3 AC Milan2025-09-20 · Serie A3 gls
  • LUdinese 0–4 AC Milan2025-04-11 · Serie A4 gls
  • LAC Milan 1–0 Udinese2024-10-19 · Serie A1 gls
  • LUdinese 2–3 AC Milan2024-01-20 · Serie A5 gls
2.8goals per meeting1/6with both teams scoring4/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Udinese LLLWL in Serie A (0-3 v Lecce, 1-2 at Torino, 5-3 loss at Inter, 0-1 v Cagliari; only league win 3-2 at Monza) and concede freely; Milan unbeaten WDDWD… league run W-W-D-D-W-D-W with 3-2 and 3-0 home wins, though they drew 1-1 at Sassuolo.
History
Heavily Milan-dominated recent Serie A history until April 2026: Milan won five straight league meetings (1-0, 3-2, 1-0, 4-0, 3-0) from Oct 2023 to Sep 2025, each by at least one goal and with Milan scoring 3+ in three of them; Udinese then won 3-0 at San Siro in April 2026, so the last six league meetings read Milan 5 wins, Udinese 1. Milan are the far bigger club and were Champions-League-chasing/top-four in that April 2026 defeat, while Udinese sat 10th — Milan clearly the stronger side, tho…
The competition
Italian Serie A 2026/27 (top flight, 20 clubs), ordinary league round — Matchday 8, played at Bluenergy Stadium (Stadio Friuli), Udine, Sun 25 Oct 2026. Milan are unbeaten and 4th on 15 pts from 7 (4W 3D), chasing the leaders Inter/Lazio on 19; Udinese are 16th on 4 pts (1W 1D 5L, 9 GF 16 GA) and already in a relegation fight, having lost four of their last five league games. Milan played a Europa League match at Bournemouth on 22 Oct (three days before), so fixture congestion/rotation is live…

Team news

Udinese
  • Vakoun Bayo — out (fwd)
  • David Alaba — out (def)
AC Milan
  • Mike Maignan — out (gk)
  • Adrien Rabiot — out (mid)
  • Mario Gila — out (def)
  • Diego Moreira — out (mid)
  • Matteo Gabbia — out (def)
  • Alexis Saelemaekers — out (mid)
  • Samuel Chukwueze — out (fwd)
  • Pietro Terracciano — doubtful (gk)

Italian Serie A table

Italian Serie A standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Inter7—19
2Lazio7—19
3Roma7—17
4AC Milan7—15
10Torino7—10
11Atalanta7—9

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Udinese vs AC Milan prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Udinese 22%, the draw 23% and AC Milan 55%.

What is the best bet for Udinese vs AC Milan?

Our tip is Full time result · AC Milan at 1.77. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Udinese vs AC Milan kick off?

Udinese vs AC Milan kicks off at Sun 19:45 in the Italian Serie A.

Who is out for Udinese vs AC Milan?

Reported absences: Mike Maignan (out), Adrien Rabiot (out), Mario Gila (out), Diego Moreira (out), Matteo Gabbia (out), Alexis Saelemaekers (out), Samuel Chukwueze (out), Pietro Terracciano (doubtful), Vakoun Bayo (out), David Alaba (out).

What happened the last time Udinese vs AC Milan met?

AC Milan 0–3 Udinese (2026-04-11 · Serie A). Over their last 6 meetings it is 2 wins for Udinese, 0 draws and 4 for AC Milan.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.