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English Football League Cup

Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction, tips and odds

Palace, missing keeper Henderson and striker Mateta and winless in three league games without scoring, visit a Fulham side on two straight 1-0 wins in a Carabao Cup last-16 tie.
  • weakened side
  • rotation risk
  • even match
  • high stakes
  • Derby
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Fulham: normal
  • Crystal Palace: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
English Football League Cup

Our prediction

Fulham
FormW, W, L, L, W

Ryan Sessegnon (out)

Crystal Palace
FormL, L, L, D, W

Dean Henderson (out), Takehiro Tomiyasu (out), Ben Chilwell (doubtful), Honest Ahanor (out), Jean-Philippe Mateta (out), Chadi Riad (out)

Our prediction
1–02.7 goals projected
FUL 61%Draw 22%CRY 17%
goals per meeting
2.8goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
3/5with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
2/5over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Fulham come throughOur pickFulham · Draw no bet
    1.85
  • Fulham avoid defeatOur pickFulham starts 1.5 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
FUL 61%Draw 22%CRY 17%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–012%
  • 2–011%
  • 1–111%
Projected goals
2.7
Likeliest at half time
0–030%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Fulham against Crystal Palace
StatFULCRYTotal
Goals1.860.852.7
Expected goals (xG)1.581.483.1
Corners5.444.39.7
Fouls9.999.519.5

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
FulhamW, W, L, L, W
Crystal PalaceL, L, L, D, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendFULCRY
Over 2.5 goals3/51/5
Both teams scored2/50/5
Clean sheets3/52/5
Failed to score0/54/5
Head-to-head · last 5
1
FUL wins
1
Draws
3
CRY wins
  • LFulham 2–3 Crystal Palace2026-09-05 · Premier League5 gls
  • DCrystal Palace 1–1 Fulham2026-01-01 · Premier League2 gls
  • LFulham 1–2 Crystal Palace2025-12-07 · Premier League3 gls
  • LFulham 0–2 Crystal Palace2025-02-22 · Premier League2 gls
  • WCrystal Palace 0–2 Fulham2024-11-09 · Premier League2 gls
2.8goals per meeting3/5with both teams scoring2/5over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Fulham WLWWL-ish: two straight 1-0 wins (Coventry a, Hull h) after a 1-2 loss at Ipswich, plus a 3-0 cup win over Wimbledon and a 2-3 home league loss to Palace. Palace LLWDL: three straight league defeats without scoring (0-2 Bristol City, 0-2 Everton, 0-2 Newcastle) after a 0-…
History
Fulham and Crystal Palace are established Premier League near-equals (Sports Mole: 56 meetings, FUL 19, D 20, CRY 17) and have met four times in the league since Nov 2024 — Palace have won three of the last four, including 2-3 and 1-2 at Craven Cottage in 2026-27/2025-26; Fulham's only win in that run was 0-2 at Selhurst in Nov 2024. All four were one- or two-goal, both-teams-scored-heavy league games (Fulham scored in 3 of 4). This is the sides' first League Cup meeting in this window; Palace…
The competition
Carabao Cup (English Football League Cup) 2026-27, Round Four (last 16), single-leg knockout at Craven Cottage, 28 Oct 2026 — winners go to Round Five w/c 14 Dec. Both are Premier League sides: Fulham sit 15th (8 pts from 8, GD -2) and Palace 17th (7 pts from 8, GD -10), so both are in the bottom third of the league and a cup run is a live route to a bright spot in an otherwise poor season; neither is anywhere near a title race. Palace beat Middlesbrough 3-0 at home in R3; Fulham beat AFC Wimbl…

Team news

Fulham
  • Ryan Sessegnon — out (def)
Crystal Palace
  • Dean Henderson — out (gk)
  • Takehiro Tomiyasu — out (def)
  • Ben Chilwell — doubtful (def)
  • Honest Ahanor — out (def)
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta — out (fwd)
  • Chadi Riad — out (def)

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction?

We project 1–0. Our model gives Fulham 61%, the draw 22% and Crystal Palace 17%.

What is the best bet for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Our tip is Full time result · Fulham at 1.85. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Fulham vs Crystal Palace kick off?

Fulham vs Crystal Palace kicks off at Wed 19:45 in the English Football League Cup.

Who is out for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Reported absences: Dean Henderson (out), Takehiro Tomiyasu (out), Ben Chilwell (doubtful), Honest Ahanor (out), Jean-Philippe Mateta (out), Chadi Riad (out), Ryan Sessegnon (out).

What happened the last time Fulham vs Crystal Palace met?

Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace (2026-09-05 · Premier League). Over their last 5 meetings it is 1 wins for Fulham, 1 draw and 3 for Crystal Palace.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.